| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.0% | 62% | -6.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.6% | 39.3% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Pedro Sakamoto | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1491 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1491 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Guilherme Barbieri Renner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |