| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.3% | 72% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.3% | 22.7% |
| xgboost | 66.2% | 33.2% |
| logistic | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | Chicago Blackhawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1618 | 1359 |
| Surface Elo | 1618 | 1359 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 107 | 167 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 15 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Jun | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 5 | L |
| 07 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 4 | W |
| 05 Jun | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 4 | L |
| 16 Apr | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | H | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 5 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 7 | L |
| 07 Apr | A | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | L |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 0 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 05 Jan 2026 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 3 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 5 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 - 5 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Sep 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 3.27 | 30.6% | 29 Sep 23:20 |