| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.5% | 89% | -20.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| logistic | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Aleksandr Braynin | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Penzlin, J | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Nikolay Vylegzhanin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Petros Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.12 | 89.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |