| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.9% | 66% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| logistic | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Laura Samson | Alice Tubello | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 8 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Tamara Zidansek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Nguyen Tan, Lucie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Teixido Garcia, Aran | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alisa Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipek Oz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Martha Matoula | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Vittoria Paganetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Helena Muzinic | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |