| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.1% | 74% | -14.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.8% | 31.1% |
| logistic | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Moise Kouame | Diego Dedura | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1639 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1639 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Adam Walton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Alexandre Muller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Alexandre Muller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Diego Dedura | 0 - 2 | Moise Kouame |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |