| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.2% | 55% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.0% |
| logistic | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1626 | 1638 |
| Surface Elo | 1626 | 1638 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 1 | Facundo Mena |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 11 Sep 2023 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |