OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scotland League 2 · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Stranraer 2.60 0 - 0 2.00 Edinburgh City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.0%50%-0.7%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.0%81%-7.0%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 64.6%67%-2.2%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.2%61%+6.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 61.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.2%23.7%23.1%
xgboost43.5%27.9%28.6%
logistic44.8%26.8%28.4%
Inputs the models saw
StranraerEdinburgh City
Elo (pre-match)14291352
Surface Elo14291352
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.602.00
Form trend-0.40-0.20
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game5.003.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Stranraer: last 5
26 SepHEast Kilbride4 - 3W
22 SepABerwick Rangers2 - 3L
19 SepAElgin5 - 1W
19 SepAElgin5 - 1W
12 SepHDumbarton3 - 1W
Edinburgh City: last 5
22 SepHDundee United1 - 0W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
12 SepHStirling7 - 3W
05 SepAClyde2 - 3L
Head to head
07 Mar 2026Edinburgh City4 - 1Stranraer
03 Jan 2026Stranraer1 - 1Edinburgh City
18 Oct 2025Edinburgh City1 - 3Stranraer
09 Aug 2025Stranraer1 - 2Edinburgh City
19 Apr 2025Stranraer2 - 0Edinburgh City
01 Mar 2025Edinburgh City0 - 1Stranraer
14 Dec 2024Stranraer0 - 0Edinburgh City
05 Oct 2024Edinburgh City1 - 2Stranraer
18 Mar 2022Edinburgh City1 - 2Stranraer
05 Feb 2022Stranraer0 - 2Edinburgh City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.3030.3%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9750.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC