OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Greece Super League 2 · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Asteras Tripolis 0.80 1 - 0 1.20 Apollon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.4%52%+13.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 87.9%84%+3.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 82.8%73%+9.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 50.6%44%+6.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 49.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.4%29.6%28.0%
xgboost51.0%23.5%25.5%
logistic61.7%25.9%12.3%
Inputs the models saw
Asteras TripolisApollon
Elo (pre-match)14571367
Surface Elo14571367
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend0.400.40
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days61588
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W0 W · 2 D
Asteras Tripolis: last 5
13 SepHAEK1 - 1D
07 SepHIraklis0 - 2L
30 AugHOlympiakos0 - 1L
23 AugAPanetolikos1 - 3L
21 MayAPanetolikos2 - 1W
Apollon: last 5
15 MayAAsteras Tripolis2 - 2D
07 MayHLamia0 - 0D
02 MayAIonikos1 - 5L
16 AprHVolos NFC1 - 1D
09 AprAOFI Crete2 - 1W
Head to head
15 May 2022Asteras Tripolis2 - 2Apollon
24 Jan 2022Asteras Tripolis1 - 0Apollon
16 Oct 2021Apollon0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
10 Jan 2021Apollon0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
25 Nov 2020Asteras Tripolis0 - 0Apollon
03 Feb 2019Apollon0 - 2Asteras Tripolis
22 Sep 2018Asteras Tripolis2 - 0Apollon
29 Apr 2018Asteras Tripolis2 - 1Apollon
10 Dec 2017Apollon1 - 3Asteras Tripolis
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.9025.6%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.1032.3%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9252.1%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.3043.5%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.5265.8%20 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC