| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.5% | 68% | -11.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Liam Broady | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1532 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1532 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexey Zakharov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Yaroslav Demin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Yaroslav Demin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Keisuke Saitoh | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |