OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Serie B · Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Pisa 1.60 2 - 2 0.60 Sudtirol
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.7%65%-7.8%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 81.1%91%-9.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 74.7%85%-10.2%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 51.9%55%-3.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.5%25.8%18.8%
xgboost57.9%21.5%20.6%
logistic57.2%25.4%17.3%
Inputs the models saw
PisaSudtirol
Elo (pre-match)14561408
Surface Elo14561408
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.60
Form trend0.800.00
Season points per game1.501.40
Season goals for / game1.801.10
Season goals against / game1.501.00
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 2 D
Pisa: last 5
01 NovAAvellino0 - 2L
01 NovAAvellino0 - 2L
01 NovHBari1 - 2L
28 OctHPalermo3 - 3D
28 OctHPalermo3 - 3D
Sudtirol: last 5
31 OctHCesena1 - 1D
31 OctHCesena1 - 1D
27 OctAPadova0 - 2L
27 OctAPadova0 - 2L
27 OctALazio0 - 2L
Head to head
09 May 2025Pisa3 - 3Sudtirol
19 Oct 2024Sudtirol1 - 2Pisa
05 May 2024Pisa2 - 2Sudtirol
11 Nov 2023Sudtirol1 - 2Pisa
04 Feb 2023Pisa0 - 1Sudtirol
04 Sep 2022Sudtirol2 - 1Pisa
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.5015.4%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.4668.5%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%07 Nov 14:00
SportyBet1X2away5.6017.9%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5763.7%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8155.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9750.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC