| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.9% | 71% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Cezar Cretu | Jakub Filip | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1578 | 1569 |
| Surface Elo | 1578 | 1569 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Ioannis Kountourakis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Garay, Valentin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Jeremy Gschwendtner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Viktor Kirov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Jordan Hasson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Amit Vales | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Murgett, F | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |