OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Spartans 1.80 0 - 2 2.60 Stranraer
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.0%47%+1.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.2%81%-5.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.2%62%-1.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.0%63%-2.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.0%26.8%25.2%
xgboost40.3%23.9%35.8%
logistic40.8%27.0%32.2%
Inputs the models saw
SpartansStranraer
Elo (pre-match)14321437
Surface Elo14321437
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.60
Form trend0.300.20
Season points per game1.502.00
Season goals for / game2.202.30
Season goals against / game1.800.90
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Spartans: last 5
13 OctHBonnyrigg Rose1 - 1D
10 OctAEdinburgh City3 - 1W
10 OctAEdinburgh City3 - 1W
03 OctHKelty Hearts0 - 2L
03 OctHKelty Hearts0 - 2L
Stranraer: last 5
10 OctAAnnan Athletic6 - 1W
10 OctAAnnan Athletic6 - 1W
03 OctHEdinburgh City0 - 0D
03 OctHEdinburgh City0 - 0D
26 SepHEast Kilbride4 - 3W
Head to head
15 Aug 2026Stranraer1 - 0Spartans
11 Apr 2026Spartans1 - 2Stranraer
21 Feb 2026Stranraer2 - 1Spartans
22 Nov 2025Spartans0 - 4Stranraer
13 Sep 2025Stranraer0 - 2Spartans
05 Apr 2025Spartans2 - 1Stranraer
01 Feb 2025Stranraer2 - 0Spartans
10 Dec 2024Spartans1 - 3Stranraer
03 Aug 2024Stranraer2 - 2Spartans
13 Apr 2024Spartans0 - 0Stranraer
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2045.5%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.8535.1%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5962.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC