| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.0% | 58% | -6.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.8% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Luis "Guto" Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Facundo Mena | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 1 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |