| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.2% | 59% | +2.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Draw or away | 88.0% | 84% | +3.9% | void |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 85.3% | 77% | +8.2% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 61% | -16.7% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.4% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 13.3% | 22.4% | 64.3% |
| xgboost | 15.8% | 26.1% | 58.1% |
| logistic | 9.9% | 21.3% | 68.8% |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1433 | 1838 |
| Surface Elo | 1433 | 1838 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Kvv Thes Sport Tessenderlo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | RAAL La Louviere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | RAAL La Louviere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Cercle Brugge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Waasland-Beveren | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Inter | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Lecce | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |