| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 59% | -1.4% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.2% | 82% | -1.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 74.6% | 76% | -1.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 selected | 62.5% | 48% | +14.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 65.3% | 21.6% | 13.2% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 21.8% | 14.7% |
| Celta | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1533 | 1317 |
| Surface Elo | 1533 | 1317 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Sep | A | Sociedad | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Athletic Club | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Aug | H | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Valencia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Levante | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Real Madrid | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Aug | A | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 May | H | Getafe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Mar 2018 | Celta | 0 - 0 | Malaga |
| 29 Oct 2017 | Malaga | 2 - 1 | Celta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 13 Sep 19:39 |