| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.3% | 58% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Moez Echargui | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1585 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1585 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.92 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Ryan Peniston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |