| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 81% | -36.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 90% | -17.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.9% | 99% | -38.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 48% | +5.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 28.2% | 40.7% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 22.8% | 23.6% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 34.8% | 22.9% |
| Panserraikos | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1367 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1367 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 169 | 1636 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Panionios | 0 - 5 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Niki Volou 1924 PAE | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Hellas Syrou | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | AE Larissa FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Nestos Chrysoupoli FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Proodeftiki FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | GS Marko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Ethnikos OFPF | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Paop Neas Amisou | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Aer Afantou | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.60 | 10.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |