| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.5% | 42% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 78% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.6% | 58% | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 50% | +3.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.8% | 28.8% | 30.5% |
| xgboost | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.2% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
| Walsall | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1423 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1423 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Fulham | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Leeds | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Accrington | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Accrington | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Walsall | 1 - 2 | Oldham |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Oldham | 0 - 1 | Walsall |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Walsall | 2 - 1 | Oldham |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Oldham | 1 - 3 | Walsall |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Walsall | 1 - 1 | Oldham |
| 15 Dec 2020 | Oldham | 2 - 3 | Walsall |
| 22 Oct 2019 | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Walsall |
| 11 Apr 2018 | Oldham | 1 - 1 | Walsall |
| 12 Aug 2017 | Walsall | 2 - 1 | Oldham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |