| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.7% | 64% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.3% | 38.6% |
| logistic | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1842 | 1737 |
| Surface Elo | 1842 | 1737 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 3 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Zizou Bergs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Adam Walton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |