| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.9% | 53% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Philip Henning | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Matas Ortega, X | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Arthur Nagel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Louis Wessels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Diogo Morais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Diogo Morais | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |