| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.3% | 45% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.6% | 74% | +1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.4% | 61% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 47% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.3% | 27.0% | 28.7% |
| xgboost | 44.2% | 28.8% | 27.0% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 29.2% | 28.3% |
| Kaiserslautern | Bochum | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Heidenheim | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Heidenheim | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Braunschweig | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Braunschweig | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Magdeburg | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Hannover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Hannover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Bochum | 3 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 2 | Bochum |
| 13 Apr 2018 | Bochum | 3 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| 03 Nov 2017 | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 0 | Bochum |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |