| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 49% | +12.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 85.0% | 78% | +6.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.7% | 65% | +5.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 56% | -10.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 46.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.8% | 25.6% | 33.6% |
| xgboost | 30.9% | 27.6% | 41.5% |
| logistic | 23.7% | 26.2% | 50.1% |
| La Coruna | Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1597 | 1762 |
| Surface Elo | 1597 | 1762 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 16 Sep | H | Sevilla | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Villarreal | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Valencia | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Malaga | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Getafe | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Real Madrid | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Levante | 2 - 5 | L |
| 25 Aug | A | Valencia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Feb 2018 | La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Betis |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Betis | 2 - 1 | La Coruna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 20 Sep 17:30 |