OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Willem II 0.00 1 - 1 1.40 Zwolle
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.5%44%+2.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.0%77%-2.6%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 62.5%58%+4.1%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.6%63%-2.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.1%24.6%45.3%
xgboost28.8%28.9%42.3%
logistic24.0%28.5%47.6%
Inputs the models saw
Willem IIZwolle
Elo (pre-match)13121475
Surface Elo13121475
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.40
Form trend0.00-0.70
Season points per game0.001.75
Season goals for / game0.801.50
Season goals against / game4.000.75
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Willem II: last 5
31 OctAPSV Eindhoven0 - 7L
31 OctAPSV Eindhoven0 - 7L
27 OctAHelmond Sport4 - 3W
24 OctHCambuur1 - 6L
24 OctHCambuur1 - 6L
Zwolle: last 5
01 NovHDen Haag1 - 0W
01 NovHDen Haag1 - 0W
28 OctHTOP Oss1 - 2L
24 OctAUtrecht1 - 1D
24 OctAUtrecht1 - 1D
Head to head
14 May 2025Willem II1 - 2Zwolle
13 Dec 2024Zwolle0 - 1Willem II
14 Jan 2022Zwolle2 - 0Willem II
28 Aug 2021Willem II1 - 0Zwolle
22 Jan 2021Willem II1 - 3Zwolle
24 Oct 2020Zwolle0 - 0Willem II
26 Jan 2020Willem II0 - 0Zwolle
02 Aug 2019Zwolle1 - 3Willem II
14 Apr 2019Willem II2 - 0Zwolle
09 Nov 2018Zwolle2 - 3Willem II
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2644.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7826.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1032.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC