| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.4% | 35% | +9.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 73.3% | 65% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.8% | 49% | +12.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 55% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.9% | 28.6% | 41.5% |
| xgboost | 31.8% | 24.5% | 43.6% |
| logistic | 22.8% | 34.1% | 43.1% |
| Valenciennes | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1332 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1332 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 902 | 2432 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | AS Cannes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Amiens | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | FC Versailles 78 | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Le Puy-En Velay FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | La Roche Vendee Football | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | FC Villefranche-Beaujolais | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Quevilly Rouen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | AS Cannes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Mar | A | Lens | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Nov 2019 | Orleans | 0 - 1 | Valenciennes |
| 15 Mar 2019 | Valenciennes | 1 - 4 | Orleans |
| 19 Oct 2018 | Orleans | 1 - 0 | Valenciennes |
| 02 Mar 2018 | Valenciennes | 0 - 1 | Orleans |
| 29 Sep 2017 | Orleans | 3 - 4 | Valenciennes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |