OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-12
⚽ Italy Serie A · Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Atalanta 1.20 3 - 1 0.00 Venezia
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.9%no line✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.9%no line✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.0%no line✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.5%no line✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson61.5%21.7%16.8%
xgboost50.0%27.1%22.9%
logistic51.1%25.6%23.3%
Inputs the models saw
AtalantaVenezia
Elo (pre-match)17041572
Surface Elo17041572
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.00
Form trend0.900.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2222
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W0 W · 1 D
Atalanta: last 5
11 OctASEF Torres Sassari1 - 2L
20 SepAJuventus0 - 2L
20 SepHRavenna FC 19130 - 2L
12 SepHCagliari1 - 2L
05 SepARoma1 - 2L
Venezia: last 5
10 OctHLecco0 - 1L
19 SepHLazio0 - 2L
19 SepHBrescia1 - 1D
11 SepHFiorentina2 - 4L
06 SepAFrosinone2 - 3L
Head to head
01 Mar 2025Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
20 Oct 2024Venezia0 - 2Atalanta
23 Apr 2022Venezia1 - 3Atalanta
30 Nov 2021Atalanta4 - 0Venezia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 17:03 UTC