| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.2% | 91% | -17.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 24.9% | 75.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 15.9% | 84.1% |
| logistic | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Kimmer Coppejans | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1662 | 1913 |
| Surface Elo | 1662 | 1913 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Dane Sweeny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Sean Cuenin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | Stefanos Tsitsipas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.10 | 90.9% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.75 | 12.9% | 07 Oct 06:15 |