| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.7% | 45% | +6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Holger Rune | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1838 | 1830 |
| Surface Elo | 1838 | 1830 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 19 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Ugo Humbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Coleman Wong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 May 2025 | Holger Rune | 3 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Holger Rune | 3 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |