| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 62% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| logistic | 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1652 | 1726 |
| Surface Elo | 1652 | 1726 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.93 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |