| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.6% | 44% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 76% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.0% | 60% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 60% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.1% | 25.6% | 33.3% |
| xgboost | 45.7% | 27.3% | 27.0% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 28.5% | 29.3% |
| Paris FC | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1699 | 1751 |
| Surface Elo | 1699 | 1751 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Quevilly Rouen | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Lorient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Lorient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Concarneau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Bastia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | OFI Crete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Lyon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Rennes | 2 - 1 | Paris FC |
| 07 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 0 - 1 | Rennes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.37 | 29.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.72 | 26.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |