| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 78% | -18.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.1% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Oleg Prihodko | Axel Garcian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1398 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1398 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 15 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Karl Friberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Maxim Mrva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Matyas Fuele | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Stefan Seifert | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Alexey Vatutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | Arthur Bouquier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Jun | H | Lucas Poullain | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 08 Oct 06:15 |