OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-15

NFL · Sunday 15 November 2026, 21:25 UTC · scheduled

Dallas Cowboys – 21:25 – San Francisco 49ers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	61.0%	67%	-6.1%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	39.0%	61.0%

Inputs the models saw

	Dallas Cowboys	San Francisco 49ers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.28
form diff	-0.38
rest diff	0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.54
opponent strength diff	-0.04
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-12T21:22:06.080658+00:00

Dallas Cowboys: last 5

08 Nov	A	Indianapolis Colts	27 - 23	W
01 Nov	H	Arizona Cardinals	30 - 33	L
27 Oct	A	Philadelphia Eagles	38 - 21	W
19 Oct	A	Green Bay Packers	13 - 23	L
09 Oct	H	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16 - 24	L

San Francisco 49ers: last 5

08 Nov	H	Las Vegas Raiders	38 - 17	W
25 Oct	A	Atlanta Falcons	20 - 29	L
20 Oct	H	Washington Commanders	23 - 17	W
11 Oct	A	Seattle Seahawks	32 - 29	W
04 Oct	H	Denver Broncos	24 - 14	W

Head to head

28 Oct 2024	San Francisco 49ers	30 - 24	Dallas Cowboys
09 Oct 2023	San Francisco 49ers	42 - 10	Dallas Cowboys
22 Jan 2023	San Francisco 49ers	19 - 12	Dallas Cowboys
16 Jan 2022	Dallas Cowboys	17 - 23	San Francisco 49ers
20 Dec 2020	Dallas Cowboys	41 - 33	San Francisco 49ers
22 Oct 2017	San Francisco 49ers	10 - 40	Dallas Cowboys
02 Oct 2016	San Francisco 49ers	17 - 24	Dallas Cowboys
07 Sep 2014	Dallas Cowboys	17 - 28	San Francisco 49ers
18 Sep 2011	San Francisco 49ers	24 - 27	Dallas Cowboys
23 Nov 2008	Dallas Cowboys	35 - 22	San Francisco 49ers

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.77	36.1%	12 Nov 17:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.49	67.1%	12 Nov 17:20

Generated 2026-11-12 21:51 UTC