| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 87% | -26.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.6% | 100% | -13.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.6% | 99% | -15.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% | 79% | -36.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 48.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.6% | 25.7% | 19.8% |
| xgboost | 66.6% | 19.5% | 13.9% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 22.9% | 10.4% |
| Hamilton | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1318 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1318 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1607 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Queen of Sth | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Queen of the South FC | 4 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Cove Rangers | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | East Fife | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Apr | H | Albion Rvs | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Apr | A | Elgin | 4 - 1 | W |
| 16 Apr | H | Edinburgh City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Apr | A | Annan Athletic | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Apr | H | Stirling | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 12.00 | 8.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.50 | 13.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23 Sep 06:15 |