| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.2% | 66% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.7% | 29.2% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Magdalena Frech | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1513 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1513 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Aoi Ito | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |