| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.3% | 71% | -16.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.2% | 95% | -13.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.1% | 91% | -17.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 50% | +12.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 61.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.7% | 28.7% | 16.6% |
| xgboost | 57.9% | 25.9% | 16.2% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 22.1% | 14.4% |
| Partick | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1544 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1544 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.29 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 14 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Raith Rvs | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Raith Rovers FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Ayr | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Queens Park | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Sep | H | Queens Park | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Queens Park | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Raith Rvs | 0 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Arbroath | 0 - 0 | Partick |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Partick | 0 - 0 | Arbroath |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | Partick |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Partick | 1 - 1 | Arbroath |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Arbroath | 0 - 1 | Partick |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Partick | 4 - 0 | Arbroath |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Arbroath | 1 - 3 | Partick |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Partick | 0 - 3 | Arbroath |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Partick | 2 - 0 | Arbroath |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Arbroath | 0 - 0 | Partick |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.30 | 13.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |