| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 51% | +8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.9% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Emilien Demanet | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Tuncay Duran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Aziz Ouakaa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Louis Tessa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Alexander Vasilev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Gauthier Onclin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Jiri Vesely | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Gijs Brouwer | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 15 Oct 06:15 |