| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 54% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Daniel Milavsky | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1542 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1542 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Govind Nanda | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Govind Nanda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |