| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.4% | 85% | -14.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.8% | 14.2% |
| logistic | 66.3% | 33.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Dayana Yastremska | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1394 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1394 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 38 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Viktorija Golubic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Ye Xin Ma | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Apr | A | Cristina Bucsa | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |