| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.6% | 77% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.8% | 20.1% |
| logistic | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Max Alcala Gurri | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1740 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1740 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Ivan Gakhov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| 02 Sep 2024 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 1 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |