| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 59% | -7.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.4% | 86% | -9.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.9% | 79% | -11.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 55% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.8% | 25.9% | 23.3% |
| xgboost | 42.2% | 30.0% | 27.8% |
| logistic | 47.6% | 27.9% | 24.5% |
| Oldham | Accrington | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1414 | 1367 |
| Surface Elo | 1414 | 1367 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.88 | 1.11 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Rest days | 13 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Salford | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Salford | 1 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Salford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 May 2026 | Oldham | 3 - 0 | Accrington |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Accrington | 1 - 0 | Oldham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |