| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | 79% | -12.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.7% | 24.3% |
| logistic | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Fabian Marozsan | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1757 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1757 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 12 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Timofey Skatov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Gauthier Onclin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | Timofey Skatov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |