| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.3% | 35% | +9.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.5% | 74% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.3% | 50% | +8.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 63% | -11.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.0% | 31.4% | 37.6% |
| xgboost | 37.8% | 25.1% | 37.1% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 28.9% | 36.4% |
| Eldense | Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1391 | 1513 |
| Surface Elo | 1391 | 1513 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Torrent CF | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Eibar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Eibar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Sp Gijon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Sporting Gijon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Valladolid | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Oviedo | 0 - 0 | Eldense |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Eldense | 1 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 04 Feb 2024 | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | Eldense |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Eldense | 1 - 3 | Oviedo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.45 | 40.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.54 | 64.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |