| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 37.8% | 56% | -17.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 70.0% | 80% | -10.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.2% | 74% | -21.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 50% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.1% | 28.3% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 28.3% | 38.3% |
| logistic | 30.1% | 39.9% | 30.1% |
| Antalyaspor | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 172 | 2721 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Igdir FK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Bodrum FK | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Istanbulspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Kayserispor | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Boluspor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bandirmaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Ankara Keciorengucu | 4 - 2 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Pendikspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Muglaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Mardin 1969 Spor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 May 2019 | Antalyaspor | 0 - 1 | Bursaspor |
| 09 Dec 2018 | Bursaspor | 0 - 2 | Antalyaspor |
| 31 Mar 2018 | Antalyaspor | 2 - 0 | Bursaspor |
| 29 Oct 2017 | Bursaspor | 4 - 0 | Antalyaspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |