| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 52% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.7% | 81% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.7% | 72% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 55% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.2% | 29.7% | 28.1% |
| xgboost | 46.7% | 31.8% | 21.5% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Rotherham | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1383 | 1401 |
| Surface Elo | 1383 | 1401 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Newport County | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Newport County | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | York | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | York | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Cambridge | 1 - 4 | L |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Gillingham | 0 - 2 | Rotherham |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Rotherham | 5 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | Rotherham |
| 17 Apr 2018 | Gillingham | 0 - 1 | Rotherham |
| 28 Oct 2017 | Rotherham | 1 - 3 | Gillingham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.81 | 55.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |