| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.1% | 67% | -8.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.5% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Edas Butvilas | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1678 | 1667 |
| Surface Elo | 1678 | 1667 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Moez Echargui | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Michael Geerts | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Daniel Cukierman | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Edas Butvilas | 1 - 2 | Max Hans Rehberg |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | Max Hans Rehberg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 07 Oct 06:15 |