OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
AFC Wimbledon 0.40 1 - 1 1.60 Wycombe
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.4%53%-6.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.4%78%-1.7%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 58.6%71%-12.2%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.0%56%+0.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 52.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.9%27.6%41.6%
xgboost34.1%20.8%45.1%
logistic29.9%28.9%41.2%
Inputs the models saw
AFC WimbledonWycombe
Elo (pre-match)14111507
Surface Elo14111507
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.401.60
Form trend0.300.20
Season points per game0.251.60
Season goals for / game0.501.60
Season goals against / game2.751.60
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 3 D
AFC Wimbledon: last 5
20 OctHMansfield0 - 3L
20 OctHMansfield0 - 3L
17 OctASheffield Weds0 - 5L
17 OctASheffield Weds0 - 5L
10 OctAPlymouth1 - 2L
Wycombe: last 5
20 OctACambridge2 - 2D
20 OctACambridge2 - 2D
20 OctAWatford1 - 2L
17 OctHNotts County2 - 0W
17 OctHNotts County2 - 0W
Head to head
04 Jan 2026Wycombe2 - 0AFC Wimbledon
27 Sep 2025AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Wycombe
18 Apr 2022AFC Wimbledon1 - 1Wycombe
11 Dec 2021Wycombe2 - 2AFC Wimbledon
31 Aug 2019AFC Wimbledon0 - 0Wycombe
27 Apr 2019AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Wycombe
22 Dec 2018Wycombe1 - 2AFC Wimbledon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8853.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.0025.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9850.5%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC