| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.2% | 88% | -19.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.6% | 23.4% |
| logistic | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| Ugo Blanchet | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1596 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1596 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Samir Hamza Reguig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Daniel De Jonge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Joao Domingues | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.40 | 18.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |