| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.9% | 82% | -12.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.8% | 11.2% |
| logistic | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Rei Sakamoto | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Kasidit Samrej | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Jangjun Kim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.95 | 25.3% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |