| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.1% | 73% | -9.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| logistic | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | Taylah Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1635 | 1550 |
| Surface Elo | 1635 | 1550 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Taylah Preston | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Tatjana Maria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Magdalena Frech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Himeno Sakatsume | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Korneeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Himeno Sakatsume | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Taylor Townsend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | Taylah Preston |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |