| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.3% | 74% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.1% | 27.8% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Zsombor Piros | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1747 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1747 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Ivan Gakhov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | Zsombor Piros |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |