| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.3% | 52% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 86% | -10.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 67% | -12.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 78% | -18.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.5% | 27.0% | 33.5% |
| xgboost | 39.2% | 26.7% | 34.1% |
| logistic | 35.1% | 29.0% | 35.9% |
| Watford | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1501 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1501 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Charlton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Charlton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Cardiff | 1 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Cardiff | 1 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Burnley | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Notts County | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Notts County | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Mar 2021 | Watford | 2 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Wycombe | 1 - 1 | Watford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.15 | 31.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |